When assessing the perceived risk of death from CȫѶid-˥9 versus the perceived risk associated with a ѷaẍɛɛne, one is called upon to make a personal choice – a subjective judgment that cannot be deemed “wrong” or “right” by others. However; determining one’s risk of death from CȫѶid-˥9 can be done in objective manner by measuring death rates of CȫѶid-˥9 versus other causes of death.
The data below all comes from the CDC. I believe the CDC has a strong interest in shading statistics to fit a political narrative that works against me here, nevertheless I will accept their numbers for the sake of this discussion. The death rates for CȫѶid-˥9 are published here, on page 19 – the very bottom table. The data for non-CȫѶid-˥9 deaths are published here, front and center of the web-page.
Below, I will assess my own risk of death from CȫѶid-˥9 as a 38 year-old American male.
- In CȫѶid-˥9 death data, the CDC has me in age group “30-39.” In non-CȫѶid-˥9 death data, they have me in age group “35-44.” Accordingly, for the purposes of this discussion, I’ve placed myself into the age group “40-49” for CȫѶid-˥9 death data – “erring on the side of caution” by making my risk of CȫѶid-˥9 death to be higher than what it actually is.
- CȫѶid-˥9 death data is presented as “weekly deaths per 100,000” while non-CȫѶid-˥9 death data is presented as “annual deaths per 100,000.” I adjusted for this by simply multiplying the weekly CȫѶid-˥9 death rate by 52 in order to annualize it.
According to the CDC, the annualized death rates per 100,000 for Americans of all races and ethnicity, both sexes, in my age group (rounded against my favor) are:
57.8 for “Accidents (unintentional injuries)”
18.1 for “Intentional Self-Harm (suicide)”
8.3 for “Assault (Homicide)”
1.56 for CȫѶid-˥9-19 [again, that’s a weekly death rate of 0.03 as of July 31, 2021, multiplied by 52 (weeks in a year)to arrive at an annualized rate of 1.56]
Here’s what that data looks like when graphed out: (That’s CȫѶid-˥9 deaths all the way to the right)
If we accept the CDC’s data as fact and we take no issue with my methodology of analysis, we can say as a matter of fact:
- I am 37.05 times more likely to die in an accident, than of CȫѶid-˥9
- I am 11.6 times more likely to die of suicide, than of CȫѶid-˥9
- I am 5.32 times more likely to be murdered, than to die of CȫѶid-˥9
I’m not offering this information to persuade anyone to get, or to not get ѷaẍᴉnated – that’s a personal choice for which there is no “right” or “wrong” answer. However; I am offering this to demonstrate that, as a matter of quantifiable fact, I ought to be over 5 times more concerned about being murdered this year than I should be about dying from CȫѶid-˥9.
Here’s another interesting piece of data from the CDC. The death rate (per 100k) for Americans age 65-74 is 6.24 and for age 75+ it’s 21.32. The death rate for Influenza & Pneumonia for Americans age 75+ is 74.7 (per 100k).
Accordingly, Americans age 75+ are at least 3.5 times more likely to die of Influenza/Pneumonia than of CȫѶid-˥9
|Age Group||Influenza & Pneumonia Death Rate||CȫѶid-˥9 Death Rate|
|65-74||Not Reported by CDC||6.24|
The fact that the Influenza numbers contain Americans 65-74 whereas the CȫѶid-˥9 numbers do not, only serves to further strengthen my point! The Influenza death rates would be even higher if they ONLY included Americans age 75+ like the Influenza numbers do.
The CDC information above can be found at these locations:
For Non-CȫѶid-˥9 deaths, here – page 20, second to last table from the bottom
For CȫѶid-˥9 deaths, here – as of 07/31/2021